Executive Summary

Key insights and market outlook

The Australian government has terminated its anti-dumping investigation into Indonesia's hot rolled deformed steel reinforcing bar (rebar) exports, citing a dumping margin of only 1.3%, below the 2% threshold ¹

². This decision, announced by Australia Anti-Dumping Commission (ADC) on December 16, 2025, reopens Australia to Indonesian steel exports and removes the Anti-Dumping Duty (BMAD) on Indonesian rebar ¹. Indonesian Trade Minister Budi Santoso welcomed the move, expecting it to boost the country's steel exports and enhance competitiveness in the Australian market.

Full Analysis

02

Deep Dive Analysis

Australia Drops Anti-Dumping Probe, Clears Way for Indonesian Steel Exports

Positive Development for Indonesian Steel Sector

The Australian government's decision to terminate its anti-dumping investigation into Indonesia's rebar exports marks a significant development for the Indonesian steel industry. The Australia Anti-Dumping Commission (ADC) announced its decision on December 16, 2025, after determining that the dumping margin for Indonesian rebar was 1.3%, below the 2% threshold required for anti-dumping duties ¹

².

Impact on Trade Relations

Indonesian Trade Minister Budi Santoso welcomed the decision, stating that it would boost the country's steel exports to Australia, which had been impacted during the investigation ¹

. The removal of the Anti-Dumping Duty (BMAD) on Indonesian rebar is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Indonesian steel producers in the Australian market.

Market Implications

The reopening of the Australian market to Indonesian steel exports is seen as a positive signal for Indonesia's foreign trade performance in the steel sector. With the lifting of trade barriers, Indonesian steel producers are poised to regain their market share in Australia, potentially leading to increased export volumes and revenue.

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