Key insights and market outlook
Bank Indonesia (BI) Governor Perry Warjiyo outlined the central bank's comprehensive policy mix for 2026, including monetary policy adjustments, macroprudential measures, and payment system enhancements. Key highlights include potential further BI rate cuts if inflation remains controlled, expanded liquidity incentives to boost banking credit, and accelerated digitalization through the 'Satu Nusa, Satu Bangsa, Satu Bahasa' initiative. The policy mix also includes evaluation of the Devisa Hasil Ekspor Sumber Daya Alam (DHE SDA) program as requested by President Prabowo Subianto.
Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo presented the central bank's comprehensive policy mix for 2026 during the annual Bank Indonesia Annual Meeting (PTBI). The monetary policy direction includes examining potential further reductions in the BI rate to stimulate economic growth while maintaining inflation control. Warjiyo stated that with inflation under control, BI will carefully consider additional rate cuts to support economic expansion.
The macroprudential policy will focus on maintaining a loose macroprudential stance to encourage higher bank credit growth, particularly to government priority sectors. BI plans to increase liquidity incentives to Rp423 trillion starting December 2025 for banks that quickly lower their interest rates. The central bank will also strengthen systemic surveillance to maintain financial system stability in coordination with other financial regulators.
In the realm of payment systems, BI is accelerating digitalization through its 'Satu Nusa, Satu Bangsa, Satu Bahasa' initiative, aligning with the Indonesia Payment System Blueprint 2030. Key initiatives include:
BI plans to enhance foreign exchange market development through various measures including increasing foreign exchange transaction volumes to US$18 billion daily by 2030 and money market transactions to Rp81 trillion daily by 2030. The central bank will also strengthen cooperation with market participants and other stakeholders to develop the financial market infrastructure.
On the institutional front, BI is committed to enhancing its digital capabilities through the Integrated Digital Center, supported by advanced data analytics and artificial intelligence capabilities. The bank will also maintain transparency through regular performance reporting to the President and DPR (People's Representative Council).
BI Policy Mix Announcement 2026
Potential BI Rate Cut
Expanded Liquidity Incentives
Digital Rupiah Exploration