BPS Warns of Potential Crop Failure in Sumatra Region

Flood Impact on Rice Fields

The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) has revealed that recent floods in Aceh, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra have put 11.43% of the region's rice fields at risk of crop failure ¹

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https://nasional.kontan.co.id/news/bps-bencana-di-sumatera-berpotensi-meningkatkan-risiko-gagal-panen-padi

. This alarming statistic was disclosed by Pudji Ismartini, Deputy for Distribution and Services Statistics at BPS, during a press conference on January 5, 2026.

Standing Crop Conditions

The BPS also reported that the proportion of land currently planted with rice, or standing crop, in the three provinces was only 34.63% in November 2025 ¹

. This figure represents a decrease from the previous month, raising concerns about the potential impact on future rice harvests. Pudji noted that the low standing crop ratio and risk of crop failure could affect not only the November harvest but also the potential harvests for the next three months.

Inflation Concerns in Affected Areas

In related news, the BPS also observed inflation in several provinces affected by hydrometeorological disasters in December 2025 ³

. Aceh, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra, which had previously recorded deflation in November 2025, experienced inflation. These provinces were among those with the highest inflation rates.

Economic Implications

The combination of crop failure risks and inflation in the affected regions could have significant economic implications. The potential reduction in rice production may lead to increased prices, affecting food security and inflation rates in the coming months.