Key insights and market outlook
China will impose a 55% additional tariff on beef imports exceeding the quota to protect its domestic cattle industry, effective January 1, 2026. The total import quota for 2026 is set at 2.7 million metric tons. This safeguard measure aims to address the negative impact of surging beef imports on local producers, particularly from major suppliers like Brazil and Australia.
China has announced a significant trade policy change by implementing a 55% additional tariff on beef imports that exceed the established quota, effective from January 1, 2026. This measure is designed to safeguard the domestic cattle industry, which has been under pressure from the surge in imported beef. The total import quota for 2026 has been set at 2.7 million metric tons, which is slightly below the record 2.87 million tons imported in 2024.
The new policy is expected to significantly impact major beef-exporting countries, particularly Brazil and Australia, which have been the largest suppliers to China. Data shows that during the first 11 months of 2025, China's beef imports reached 2.59 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.3% from the previous year. Industry analysts, such as Hongzhi Xu from Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultants, predict that China's beef imports will decline further in 2026 due to these new restrictions.
The Chinese Ministry of Commerce justified the safeguard measures by stating that the surge in beef imports has 'seriously harmed the domestic industry'. The government aims to strike a balance between meeting domestic demand and protecting local cattle farmers. While the quota for 2026 is set at 2.7 million tons, it is designed to increase gradually over the three-year period of the safeguard measure.
China Implements 55% Tariff on Excess Beef Imports
Beef Import Quota Established at 2.7 Million Tons for 2026