Key insights and market outlook
The coal sector has experienced a decline in performance throughout January-September 2025, with China's demand and commodity prices being key factors that can improve the sector's performance going forward. Analysts have provided recommendations for coal sector stocks, including PTBA, INDY, and ITMG. 1
The coal sector has experienced a decline in performance throughout January-September 2025, with China's demand and commodity prices being key factors that can improve the sector's performance going forward. 1
PTBA reported a revenue of Rp 31.33 trillion in Q3 2025, a 2% year-on-year (yoy) growth. However, the company's net profit declined by 56.25% to Rp 1.4 trillion due to an increase in cost of goods sold. 1
Inav Haria Chandra, an analyst at Sinarmas Sekuritas, believes that China's thermal coal demand is approaching its structural peak, with a possible peak before 2030. 2
Coal Sector Performance Decline
PTBA's Revenue Growth
China's Thermal Coal Demand Peak