Key insights and market outlook
Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) saw significant gains on Monday, driven by a short squeeze in derivatives markets that liquidated over US$ 96 million in short positions. While the rally was largely technical, positive regulatory developments in the US helped maintain momentum. However, analysts warn that macroeconomic pressures including high interest rates continue to limit recovery potential through 2025.
Major cryptocurrencies witnessed a notable surge on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising 1.43% to US$ 89,567 and Ethereum (ETH) gaining 1.75% to US$ 3,042 within 24 hours. The upward movement was primarily attributed to a significant short squeeze in crypto derivative markets, resulting in the liquidation of approximately US$ 49 million in BTC short positions and US$ 47 million in ETH short positions. This forced buying pressure contributed to the rapid price increase.
Despite the positive daily performance, both major cryptocurrencies remain under pressure year-to-date. BTC has declined 4.10% while ETH has dropped 8.67% compared to their starting levels this year. This mixed performance reflects the ongoing challenges in the crypto market, including macroeconomic factors and regulatory uncertainties.
Analysts from Tokocrypto suggest that while the current rally is largely technical, several factors are providing support. These include positive regulatory developments in the United States, particularly the easing of restrictions on banks providing cryptocurrency custody services. Additionally, the reduction in BTC reserves on exchanges has helped limit selling pressure, contributing to the price stability.
Despite these positive factors, significant challenges remain. The persistence of high interest rates is expected to continue weighing on the crypto market throughout 2025. Analysts warn that unless there is a substantial change in macroeconomic conditions, the current rally may struggle to gain sustained momentum. The market's ability to maintain these gains will likely depend on further regulatory clarity and broader economic developments.
Crypto Market Short Squeeze
Regulatory Developments in US Crypto Market