Key insights and market outlook
PT Freeport Indonesia's gold production is expected to decline by 30% in 2026 due to a recent landslide at its Grasberg Block Cave (GBC) mine in Papua. The incident has halted operations, affecting the company's ability to meet its normal production capacity of 50-60 tons of gold per year. Most of Freeport's gold output is supplied to PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM).
PT Freeport Indonesia is facing significant operational challenges following a landslide at its Grasberg Block Cave (GBC) mine in Papua, Indonesia. The incident, which occurred in September 2025, has forced the company to halt operations, resulting in a substantial reduction in gold production. According to Jenpino Ngabdi, Vice President Director of Freeport Indonesia, the company's gold production is expected to decline by 30% in 2026 compared to normal production levels.
Under normal circumstances, Freeport Indonesia's smelter in Gresik can produce around 50-60 tons of gold per year. However, due to the current operational disruptions, production for 2025 is expected to be significantly lower, potentially capped at 15 tons. The majority of Freeport's gold output is supplied to PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM), highlighting the interconnectedness of major players in Indonesia's precious metals market.
The company anticipates returning to normal production levels by 2027, assuming that the operational issues at the GBC mine are fully resolved. The landslide incident underscores the operational risks faced by major mining operations, particularly in complex geological environments like Papua. Freeport Indonesia's ability to manage these risks will be crucial in maintaining its production stability and meeting market expectations.
Landslide Incident at GBC Mine
30% Production Decline in 2026
Operational Disruption