Key insights and market outlook
Goldman Sachs projects global oil prices will average $56 per barrel for Brent crude and $52 per barrel for WTI in 2026. The forecast suggests oil prices will trend weaker due to rising supply potentially creating a market surplus. However, geopolitical risks involving Russia, Venezuela, and Iran are expected to maintain price volatility.
Goldman Sachs has maintained its projection that global oil prices will average $56 per barrel for Brent crude and $52 per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) in 2026. The investment bank's latest research note highlights that despite potential geopolitical tensions, the overall market is expected to experience a supply surplus.
The forecast is based on expectations of rising global oil supply potentially outpacing demand growth, which could lead to a market surplus. However, ongoing geopolitical risks involving major oil-producing countries like Russia, Venezuela, and Iran are seen as significant factors that could continue to cause price volatility throughout the year.
While the projected average prices suggest a weaker oil market, the persistent geopolitical tensions are likely to maintain some level of price uncertainty. Market participants will need to monitor both supply developments and geopolitical events closely to navigate the oil market in 2026.
Oil Price Projection Update
Global Supply Forecast