Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia's state-owned company Inalum is accelerating aluminium downstreaming to meet projected 600% surge in national demand over the next three decades, driven by the electric vehicle (EV) sector and renewable energy expansion. The government is also considering extending subsidized gas supply (HGBT) to aluminium industry to reduce production costs, currently limited to seven industries.
Indonesia is taking significant steps to accelerate aluminium downstreaming as the country faces a projected 600% increase in national aluminium demand over the next three decades 1
To further support the aluminium industry, the Ministry of Industry is considering extending the subsidized gas supply scheme (HGBT) currently available to seven industries - including fertilizer, petrochemicals, and steel - to aluminium producers 2
The increasing demand for aluminium is largely attributed to its critical role in emerging technologies. Electric vehicle batteries require significant aluminium content, with a single battery pack using around 18% aluminium. Moreover, solar power plant construction demands approximately 21 tons of aluminium per megawatt of capacity. Arif Haendra, Inalum's Business Development Director, highlighted that Indonesia is at a crucial juncture to develop a comprehensive aluminium industry ecosystem, from upstream to downstream operations.
Despite the promising outlook, Indonesia currently relies heavily on aluminium imports, with 54% of national consumption being imported between 2018 and 2024, while Inalum's contribution stood at only 46%. This dependency underscores the urgency of accelerating downstream development to achieve self-sufficiency and capitalize on the growing global demand. The government's initiatives, coupled with Inalum's strategic plans, are expected to strengthen Indonesia's position in the global aluminium market.
Aluminium Downstreaming Acceleration
HGBT Expansion Consideration