Key insights and market outlook
The Indonesian government is targeting 6% economic growth in 2026, up from the current APBN target. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa expressed confidence in achieving this ambitious goal despite challenges. Meanwhile, Maybank Indonesia's Global Market Economist Myrdal Gunarto noted that the government's debt financing remains on track, having reached 77.94% of its Rp 731.5 trillion target by October 2025. The government needs to secure approximately Rp 80.7 trillion monthly in November and December to meet its annual target.
The Indonesian government is aiming for 6% economic growth in 2026, exceeding the current APBN target of 5.4%. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa expressed his determination to achieve this challenging goal during the Ecoverse 2025 event in Jakarta 2
Despite the ambitious growth targets, the government's debt financing efforts remain on track. According to Myrdal Gunarto, Global Market Economist at Maybank Indonesia, the government has successfully reached 77.94% of its Rp 731.5 trillion debt financing target by October 2025 1
The government's economic growth projections are backed by a series of policy measures aimed at stimulating economic activity. The Q4 2025 growth target is set to be above 5.5%, providing a strong foundation for the 6% target in 2026. The government's confidence is reflected in Purbaya's statement about pushing for higher growth rates in subsequent years. However, achieving these targets will require careful management of fiscal policy, particularly in terms of debt financing and deficit control.
2026 Economic Growth Target Announcement
Debt Financing Progress Update