Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia's rice production is projected to increase by 13.54% in 2025, reaching 34.77 million tons, driven by government's food security policies. This significant growth is expected to help Indonesia achieve food self-sufficiency and potentially end rice imports by 2025 1
Indonesia is on track to achieve food self-sufficiency as rice production is projected to surge by 13.54% in 2025, reaching a record 34.77 million tons 1
Several strategic policies have contributed to this success:
The impact of these policies is evident in the improving farmer's terms of trade, which reached 124.36 as of September 2025, indicating that farmers' incomes have risen significantly above their production costs 2
With these positive developments, Indonesia is poised to strengthen its position in food security. The government's commitment to infrastructure development, coupled with farmer-centric policies, is creating a robust foundation for a sustainable food system. As noted by government officials, this progress marks a significant step towards achieving national food resilience and reducing dependence on imports.
Rice Production Increase
Food Self-Sufficiency Target
Agricultural Policy Implementation