Key insights and market outlook
The Indonesian government plans to implement an export duty on coal starting January 2026, with details still being finalized. Experts suggest the duty should be progressive and based on global coal prices 2
The Indonesian government is set to introduce an export duty on coal starting January 2026, with industry experts suggesting that the tariff should be progressive and linked to global coal prices 2
Industry players, represented by the Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI), are awaiting detailed regulations regarding the tariff rate and implementation mechanism 3
Different thresholds have been proposed for implementing the export duty. Wijayanto Samirin from Paramadina University suggested a progressive tariff structure starting at 1% when prices reach $90 per ton, gradually increasing to 5% when prices hit $100 per ton or more 2
While the export duty is expected to boost state revenue, concerns remain about its impact on the competitiveness of Indonesian coal exports. Bisman noted that higher export costs could make Indonesian coal less competitive in the global market, potentially reducing production volumes if global prices weaken 1
Coal Export Duty Introduction
Progressive Tariff Structure Proposal
Industry Impact Assessment