Key insights and market outlook
As December 2025 begins, Indonesian banks face increasing pressure to meet their annual targets. Credit growth remains sluggish at 7.36% YoY as of October 2025, with only two major banks achieving double-digit growth: Bank Mandiri (11.08%) and Bank Syariah Indonesia (13.01%). While some banks like BTN (13.73%) and Danamon (10.53%) saw double-digit profit growth, others like Bank Mandiri (-9.7%) and BNI (-6.35%) experienced profit declines.
As of October 2025, Indonesia's banking sector recorded a 7.36% year-on-year credit growth, indicating a challenging environment for achieving annual targets. This slow growth is reflected in the performance of major banks, with only two out of ten large banks achieving double-digit credit growth: PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (11.08% YoY) and PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (13.01% YoY).
The profit performance among major banks shows a mixed picture. While some banks managed to achieve double-digit profit growth - such as PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk (13.73% YoY) and PT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (10.53% YoY) - others experienced significant declines. Notably, PT Bank Mandiri Tbk and PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk recorded profit decreases of 9.7% YoY and 6.35% YoY, respectively.
The banking sector faces headwinds as it approaches the end of 2025. With credit growth remaining subdued and profit performance varying across institutions, banks must navigate these challenges to meet their year-end targets. The current trend suggests that achieving double-digit growth, as seen in previous years, will be particularly difficult for most banks.
Credit Growth Slowdown
Mixed Bank Earnings Performance