Key insights and market outlook
Indonesian banks are expected to continue facing margin pressure through early 2026, with the banking sector's Net Interest Margin (NIM) declining to 4.57% by October 2025 from 4.62% in December 2024. Major banks like Bank Mandiri and Bank Central Asia (BCA) have shown similar trends. Meanwhile, BNI's profit declined by 6% YoY to Rp 18.62 trillion by November 2025, primarily due to decreased net interest income.
The Indonesian banking sector is expected to maintain its current margin pressure trend through early 2026. According to data from the Financial Services Authority (OJK), the banking sector's Net Interest Margin (NIM) decreased to 4.57% by October 2025, down from 4.62% in December 2024 and 4.61% in October 2024. This decline indicates ongoing challenges in maintaining interest margins despite efforts to stabilize the financial sector.
Major Indonesian banks have experienced similar NIM declines. For instance, Bank Mandiri's NIM for November 2025 stood at 4.3%, down from 4.6% in October 2025. For the period January to November 2025, Bank Mandiri's NIM was recorded at 4.5%, remaining below the management's target range of 4.8% to 5% for 2025.
PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk (BNI) also reported a decline in profit, with its bank-only profit decreasing by 6% year-over-year to Rp 18.62 trillion by November 2025. The previous year's profit for the same period was Rp 19.8 trillion. This decline was primarily attributed to a decrease in net interest income, which dropped by approximately Rp 178 billion to Rp 35.4 trillion.
The continued pressure on NIM and declining profits among major banks suggest that the Indonesian banking sector faces significant challenges in the near term. These trends indicate potential areas of focus for regulators and bank management to address margin pressures and stabilize financial performance.
NIM Decline in Major Banks
BNI Profit Decrease