Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) dropped slightly to 123.5 in December 2025 from 124.0 in November 2025. Economists attribute this decline to rising inflation, particularly in food prices, and natural disasters in Aceh and Sumatra. Despite the decrease, consumer confidence remains in the positive zone, indicating continued economic optimism.
Indonesia's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) experienced a marginal decline to 123.5 in December 2025, down from 124.0 in November 2025. This slight decrease indicates that while consumer optimism remains robust, certain economic factors are beginning to exert influence.
Faisal Rachman, Head of Macroeconomic Research at Permata Bank, identified rising inflation as a primary driver of the decline. The increase in inflation, particularly in the food sector, has likely contributed to consumers becoming more cautious about their spending. Additionally, natural disasters in Aceh and Sumatra further dampened consumer confidence, albeit to a lesser extent.
Despite the dip, the CCI remaining above 100 signifies that Indonesian consumers continue to be optimistic about their economic prospects. This resilience suggests that the overall economic fundamentals remain strong, with consumers still willing to spend. The challenge for policymakers will be to maintain this optimism by addressing inflationary pressures and enhancing economic resilience against natural disasters.
The slight decrease in consumer confidence highlights the need for careful economic management, particularly in controlling inflation and mitigating the impact of natural disasters on economic activity. Bank Indonesia and the government will need to balance growth stimulation with inflation control to maintain consumer confidence.
Consumer Confidence Index Decline
Inflation Impact on Consumer Sentiment