Key insights and market outlook
Indonesian micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) are facing significant credit challenges as banks adopt a more cautious lending approach amid economic uncertainty. Credit growth contracted by 0.64% YoY in November 2025 1
Indonesian micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) are experiencing significant credit challenges as banks adopt a more cautious lending approach amid economic uncertainty. The situation reflects broader economic pressures affecting both lenders and borrowers in the MSME sector.
The growth of MSME credit contracted by 0.64% year-on-year in November 2025, according to Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo 1
In response to these challenges, banks are implementing a more prudent lending strategy. Efdinal Alamsyah, Director of Compliance at Bank Oke Indonesia, noted that the non-essential segment of MSMEs is particularly affected due to weak consumer purchasing power. Banks are focusing on cash flow analysis, payment history, and business performance when evaluating loan applications. The use of collateral as a secondary repayment source remains a key risk management strategy.
State-owned enterprises are playing a crucial role in supporting MSMEs through government credit programs. PT Jamkrindo, the state-owned credit guarantee company, is strengthening its governance and risk management practices to better support the Kredit Usaha Rakyat (KUR) program 2
The MSME sector is expected to remain under pressure in 2026, particularly in segments sensitive to consumer spending. However, opportunities exist in sectors providing essential goods and logistical services. The banking sector is likely to maintain its cautious approach while focusing on portfolio quality and data-driven decision-making. Government support through guarantee schemes, financial literacy programs, and incentives for productive financing will be crucial in maintaining balanced credit growth.
MSME Credit Contraction
Banking Sector Tightens Lending
Government Support Programs