Key insights and market outlook
The Indonesian Palm Oil Farmers Association (POPSI) warns that the palm oil export levy may increase above 10% in 2026 as the government plans to implement the mandatory B50 biodiesel program in mid-next year. The current export levy was raised from 7.5% to 10% effective May 17, 2025 through Minister of Finance Regulation No. 30/2025. The B50 implementation is expected to increase subsidy funding needs for biodiesel, potentially triggering further levy hikes.
The Indonesian government recently raised the palm oil export levy from 7.5% to 10% effective May 17, 2025, through Minister of Finance Regulation No. 30/2025. This change was implemented to support the Palm Oil Plantation Fund Management Agency's operations.
The government is planning to implement the B50 biodiesel program in mid-2026, which involves blending 50% crude palm oil (CPO) with diesel fuel. According to POPSI, this mandate is expected to significantly increase the funding requirements for biodiesel subsidies.
With the increased financial burden of the B50 program, POPSI warns that the export levy may need to be raised above the current 10% level. This potential increase is necessary to cover the rising costs of subsidizing the biodiesel program, which will have a higher CPO requirement.
The potential hike in export levy could have significant implications for Indonesia's palm oil industry. Higher export levies may reduce the competitiveness of Indonesian palm oil in the global market, potentially affecting export volumes and prices.
The planned implementation of the B50 biodiesel mandate in mid-2026 is likely to have far-reaching consequences for Indonesia's palm oil sector. Stakeholders should closely monitor developments regarding the export levy and the government's plans to manage the financial implications of the B50 program.
Potential Export Levy Increase
B50 Biodiesel Implementation Plan