Key insights and market outlook
The Indonesian rupiah opened 0.10% stronger against the US dollar at Rp16,658 per USD on Monday, December 1, 2025. Major Indonesian banks including BCA, BRI, Mandiri, and BNI have set different exchange rates for the US dollar. The market expects the rupiah to move fluctuatingly between Rp16,670-Rp16,710 per USD. The strengthening rupiah is supported by expectations of a potential 25 basis point rate cut by The Fed in December 2025, with an 85% probability according to CME FedWatch Tool.
The Indonesian rupiah opened stronger against the US dollar on Monday, December 1, 2025, appreciating 0.10% to Rp16,658 per USD. This movement comes as several Asian currencies also showed mixed performance, with yen strengthening 0.40%, Singapore dollar gaining 0.10%, and Philippine peso rising 0.03%. Conversely, Hong Kong dollar weakened 0.03%, Taiwan dollar fell 0.09%, and Indian rupee declined 0.10%.
Major Indonesian banks have set the following US dollar exchange rates:
Bank Central Asia (BCA - BBCA):
Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI - BBRI):
Bank Mandiri (BMRI - BMRI):
Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI - BBNI):
Ibrahim Assuaibi from PT Traze Andalan Futures predicts that the rupiah will move fluctuatingly in the range of Rp16,670-Rp16,710 per USD during today's trading session. The market's expectation is influenced by the potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December 2025, with an 85% probability of a 25 basis point reduction according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This expectation has contributed to the rupiah's strengthening against the US dollar.
Rupiah Strengthening
Bank Exchange Rate Updates
Fed Rate Cut Expectations