Key insights and market outlook
The Indonesian Composite Index (IHSG) faces challenges reaching the 9,000 level with only four trading days left in the year. Market participants are now focusing on maintaining the 8,560 support level as technical pressure and thinning liquidity make a significant rally unlikely. Analyst Hendra Wardana notes that a 4% rally would be needed to reach 9,000, which is difficult given current conditions. The index is currently trading in a lower channel and closed at 8,584 on December 23.
The Indonesian Composite Index (IHSG) is facing significant resistance at the 9,000 level with only four trading days remaining in the year. Market analysts are now shifting their focus to maintaining crucial support levels rather than pursuing an aggressive rally. The combination of technical pressure and decreasing liquidity has made it increasingly difficult for the index to achieve a significant breakthrough.
Hendra Wardana, Founder of Republik Investor, noted that mathematically, the IHSG would need a more than 4% rally in a very short period to reach 9,000. He emphasized that this scenario is highly unlikely given the current market conditions. As of December 23 trading, the IHSG closed lower at 8,584, operating within a lower technical channel.
The market is now closely monitoring the 8,560 support level. If this level fails to hold, there's a risk that the IHSG could continue its correction towards the 50-day moving average at 8,435. This level will be crucial in determining whether the correction remains healthy or deepens further. The market's ability to maintain these support levels will be critical in shaping investor sentiment in the final trading days of the year.
IHSG Technical Analysis
Year-End Market Performance