Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia maintained stable energy supplies during the 2025/2026 Nataru period, with national fuel stock coverage averaging 21 days. Despite flooding in Aceh, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra, energy distribution remained largely unaffected due to effective coordination between government agencies and state-owned enterprises like Pertamina. Fuel consumption showed varied trends: gasoline increased by 0.9%, aviation fuel rose 5.5%, while gasoil and kerosene declined by 3.4% and 6.2% respectively. LPG distribution also remained secure with 10-16 days stock coverage.
Indonesia successfully maintained stable energy supplies during the 2025/2026 Nataru period despite regional disruptions caused by flooding in several provinces. The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) reported that national fuel stock coverage averaged 21 days, ranging between 16-35 days 1
Fuel consumption showed mixed trends during the Nataru period. According to Erika Retnowati, Chair of the National Task Force for Nataru in the ESDM sector, gasoline consumption increased by 0.9% while aviation fuel rose 5.5% compared to normal periods. Conversely, gasoil and kerosene consumption decreased by 3.4% and 6.2% respectively 1
LPG distribution remained secure with stock coverage ranging between 10-16 days, averaging 12.8 days. LPG consumption saw a significant increase of 10.6% during the period. The distribution was supported by 40 LPG terminals, 736 LPG filling stations, and 6,634 LPG agencies across the country 1
The energy sector showed resilience in the face of regional disruptions caused by flooding in Aceh, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra. As of the end of the Nataru period, 100% of gas stations in North Sumatra and West Sumatra were operational, while 97% were operational in Aceh (151 out of 156 gas stations). Pertamina continued to ensure optimal fuel distribution through various channels 1
Pertamina's Director of Logistics and Infrastructure, Jaffee Arizon Suardin, emphasized the company's commitment to maintaining energy stock resilience, particularly in disaster-affected regions. The company had strategically deployed resources and maintained readiness to meet increased demand during the holiday period 1
The successful maintenance of energy supplies during the Nataru period demonstrates the effectiveness of coordination between government agencies and state-owned enterprises. The energy sector's preparedness and response to both normal demand fluctuations and regional disruptions highlight Indonesia's improving energy resilience.
Nataru Energy Distribution
Fuel Consumption Trends
LPG Stock Management