Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia's Finance Ministry is monitoring inflation risks amid extreme weather conditions that could impact food production. November 2025 inflation slowed to 2.72% year-on-year, down from 2.86% in October, driven by easing volatile food prices that dropped to 5.48% from 6.59%. The government is maintaining price stabilization efforts, with some commodity prices like rice and chicken meat showing improvement.
The Indonesian Finance Ministry is maintaining vigilant monitoring of inflationary pressures as the country faces extreme weather conditions that could potentially disrupt food production and distribution. According to Director General of Economic and Fiscal Strategy, Febrio Kacaribu, inflation in November 2025 showed a deceleration, reaching 2.72% year-on-year, down from 2.86% in the previous month. This slowdown was primarily attributed to the easing of volatile food prices, which decreased to 5.48% from 6.59% in October.
Despite the positive trend in inflation rates, the government remains cautious about potential future price shocks, particularly with the ongoing rainy season that could affect agricultural output. Febrio emphasized that the government continues to implement consistent price stabilization measures, which have begun to show positive results in certain commodities. Prices of essential goods such as rice, red chili, and chicken meat have started to decline, providing some relief to consumers.
The Finance Ministry is proactively anticipating potential price volatility in the coming period. The combination of weather-related risks and global economic factors necessitates continued government vigilance. While current inflation trends are favorable, the ministry is prepared to implement further measures if needed to maintain price stability and protect consumer purchasing power.
Inflation Rate Decrease
Price Stabilization Measures