Key insights and market outlook
The start date of Ramadhan 2026 varies among Indonesia's government, Muhammadiyah, and NU. Muhammadiyah has officially set 1 Ramadhan 1447 H on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 2
Indonesia is anticipating Ramadhan 2026 with varying start dates proposed by different religious authorities. The government, through the Joint Decree of Three Ministers (SKB 3 Menteri), has scheduled Idul Fitri 1447 H/2026 on March 21-22, 2026 1
In contrast, Muhammadiyah has officially declared 1 Ramadhan 1447 H to be on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 2
Muhammadiyah's decision was based on astronomical calculations showing:
The government, while having predetermined the Idul Fitri holidays, is still conducting further verification through the isbat council to officially determine 1 Ramadhan 1447 H. This approach differs from Muhammadiyah's pre-calculated date.
The difference in determining Ramadhan's start date reflects the diverse methods used in Indonesia for Islamic calendaring. While Muhammadiyah follows a calculation-based approach, the government typically relies on moon sighting through the isbat council. This variation is not unusual and has been observed in previous years.