Indonesia's Sugar Supply Chain Shows Strong Resilience Ahead of Year-End Holidays

National Food Agency Confirms Ample Stockpile

The National Food Agency (Bapanas) has confirmed that Indonesia's sugar stock is at a safe level heading into the 2025 year-end holidays, with projections showing a significant surplus. As of December 4, 2025, the country's sugar stock stands at 4 million tons, comfortably above the estimated annual consumption of 2.8 million tons. The agency's Director of Consumption Diversification, Rinna Syawal, stated that the available stock of 1.67 million tons in December, against monthly consumption of 230-250 thousand tons, would result in a 1.43 million ton surplus by year-end.

Production and Carryover Stock Analysis

The robust stock position is attributed to both strong domestic production and carryover stock from the previous year. Indonesia's sugar production for 2025 reached 2.67 million tons, while the carryover stock from 2024 stood at 1.38 million tons, bringing the total available stock to 4 million tons. This supply is deemed sufficient to meet the annual demand of 2.8 million tons, ensuring stability through the year-end period and providing a strong foundation for 2026.

Market and Consumption Stability

The surplus sugar stock is expected to maintain market stability during the peak consumption period around Christmas and New Year. Rinna Syawal emphasized that the current stock levels demonstrate the government's effective management of food commodities, particularly sugar, which is a critical staple in Indonesian households. The successful maintenance of this stockpile is likely to prevent price volatility and ensure consistent availability across retail channels.