Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia's tax revenue declined in the first ten months of 2025, with personal income tax (PPh OP and PPh 21) dropping 12.8% to Rp 191.66 trillion 1
Indonesia's tax revenue experienced a significant decline in the first ten months of 2025, primarily due to a substantial drop in personal income tax receipts. The realization of Personal Income Tax (PPh OP) and Article 21 Income Tax (PPh 21) reached Rp 191.66 trillion by the end of October 2025, representing a 12.8% decrease compared to the same period last year 1
The decline in personal income tax is largely attributed to the widespread layoffs that occurred throughout 2025. Raden Agus Suparman, a tax consultant from Botax Consulting Indonesia, stated that the massive layoffs were the primary contributor to the 12.8% decline in PPh OP and PPh 21 receipts 1
The Directorate General of Taxes (DJP) reported that the net tax revenue from January to October 2025 amounted to Rp 1,459.03 trillion. This figure represents a 3.9% contraction compared to the same period in the previous year 2
Dirjen Pajak Bimo Wijayanto explained that one of the factors contributing to the contraction in net tax revenue was the significant increase in tax refunds. The DJP reported a 36.4% surge in tax restitution to taxpayers by October 2025 2
The decline in tax revenue, particularly from personal income tax, reflects the challenging economic conditions faced by Indonesian workers. The widespread layoffs have not only affected individual incomes but also had a broader impact on the country's tax base.
Tax Revenue Decline 2025
Personal Income Tax Drop
Mass Layoffs Impact