Key insights and market outlook
Iran is experiencing widespread protests driven by high living costs and currency devaluation. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reports Iran's inflation reached 32.5% in 2024, with projections of 42.4% in 2025. Economic growth has stagnated at around 1% over the past two decades due to nuclear sanctions and structural weaknesses. Former Vice President Hossein Marashi attributes Iran's economic challenges to the government's nuclear and missile programs.
Iran is currently experiencing significant economic challenges coupled with widespread protests. The demonstrations, which have spread across various regions, are driven by public dissatisfaction with high living costs and the devaluation of the Rial. The situation has been further exacerbated by the ongoing confrontation between protesters and security forces.
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Iran's inflation rate was recorded at 32.5% in 2024. The IMF projects that consumer prices will rise by 42.4% in 2025, with inflation not expected to drop below 40% until 2026. This persistent inflation has contributed to chronic structural weaknesses in the economy, making it difficult to mitigate the impact of declining oil export revenues in the long term.
Former Iranian Vice President Hossein Marashi has stated that the country's difficult economic prospects are a direct consequence of its nuclear and missile programs. Marashi highlighted that Iran's economic growth has averaged only about 1% over the past two decades, a stark contrast to the potential of a nation rich in oil resources.
The current economic turmoil in Iran is a complex issue driven by both internal and external factors. The combination of high inflation, economic sanctions, and structural weaknesses has created a challenging environment for the Iranian economy. As protests continue and economic conditions remain dire, the international community watches closely for potential developments in the region.
Protests Due to High Living Costs
Inflation Rate Projection