Key insights and market outlook
The Japanese government has revised its economic growth projections upward, now forecasting 1.1% growth for FY2025, up from 0.7% previously. The optimism is driven by stronger-than-expected domestic consumption and lighter-than-anticipated impact from US tariffs. For FY2026, growth is projected to reach 1.3%, supported by robust household consumption and capital expenditure 1
The Japanese government has revised its economic growth projections upward for the first time under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's leadership. The new forecast indicates that the economy is expected to grow by 1.1% in the fiscal year ending March 2025, an improvement from the previous projection of 0.7% released in August. This optimism is attributed to the positive impact of government stimulus measures and resilient domestic consumption.
The government's confidence extends into the next fiscal year, with projections showing growth accelerating to 1.3% in FY2026. This forecast is based on expectations of continued strong household consumption and robust capital expenditure. The government believes that tax relief measures and declining inflation will help maintain consumer purchasing power, supporting overall economic growth.
The upward revision in growth projections reflects the government's confidence in its economic management strategies and the resilience of the Japanese economy despite global challenges.
Economic Growth Projection Revision
Stimulus Package Announcement