Key insights and market outlook
Oil prices continued their decline on Wednesday, driven by concerns over global supply glut and easing geopolitical tensions. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 1.87% weekly and 5.17% monthly to $58.142 per barrel, while Brent crude dropped 1.37% weekly and 3.48% monthly to $62.642 per barrel. Analysts point to rising non-OPEC+ supply, particularly from the United States and Brazil, potentially outpacing demand growth in 2026.
Oil prices continued their downward trajectory on Wednesday as market participants grappled with growing concerns over global oil supply glut. The easing of geopolitical tensions further contributed to the negative sentiment in the oil market. According to Tradingeconomics data as of 18:40 WIB on Wednesday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures recorded a 1.87% weekly decline and a 5.17% monthly drop, settling at $58.142 per barrel. Similarly, Brent crude futures experienced a 1.37% weekly decrease and a 3.48% monthly fall, closing at $62.642 per barrel.
Industry analyst Wahyu Laksono, founder of Traderindo.com, noted that the correction in oil prices is closely tied to increasing market concerns about potential global oversupply. The latest projections indicate that non-OPEC+ countries, particularly the United States and Brazil, are expected to drive supply growth at a faster pace than demand in 2026. This anticipated imbalance between supply and demand is putting downward pressure on oil prices.
The current market dynamics suggest that oil prices may face continued challenges in the near term. The combination of rising production from non-OPEC+ countries and moderating geopolitical risks is creating a bearish outlook for oil prices. Market participants will be closely monitoring supply developments and demand trends in the coming months to gauge the future direction of oil prices.
Oil Price Decline
Global Supply Glut Concerns
Non-OPEC+ Production Increase