Telecom Sector Faces Intense Competition: Analysts Recommend Key Stocks
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PublishedDec 14
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Telecom Sector Faces Intense Competition: Analysts Recommend Key Stocks

AnalisaHub Editorial·December 14, 2025
Executive Summary
01

Executive Summary

Key insights and market outlook

The Indonesian telecom sector is expected to remain highly competitive, with price competition and efforts to boost Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) continuing to shape the industry landscape. Analysts from BRI Danareksa Sekuritas remain positive on the sector's prospects for early next year, driven by price recovery and network monetization momentum. Key players like PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT), PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL), and PT Telkom Indonesia Tbk (TLKM) are poised for various growth catalysts.

Full Analysis
02

Deep Dive Analysis

Telecom Sector Analysis: Competition and Growth Prospects

Intensifying Competition in Indonesian Telecom Market

The Indonesian telecommunications industry is bracing for continued intense competition, with price wars and efforts to increase Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) remaining key challenges 1

. Despite the competitive pressures, analysts from BRI Danareksa Sekuritas maintain a positive outlook on the sector for early next year, citing potential catalysts such as price recovery and network monetization following major operator consolidations 2.

Key Players and Their Growth Prospects

  1. PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT): The company has entered a strong price repair phase with significant yield increases on IM3 and Hutch packages 2. ISAT has also collaborated with Qualcomm to enhance network performance and efficiency through AI-powered solutions 1.
  2. PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL): EXCL is in a post-network integration phase, which has improved service capacity and quality, potentially supporting double-digit EBITDA growth in 2026-2027 2.
  3. PT Telkom Indonesia Tbk (TLKM): TLKM is expected to benefit from valuation catalysts including the spin-off of fiber assets and the planned entry of strategic partners in 2026 2.

Financial Performance Highlights

ISAT reported total revenue of Rp 41.16 trillion for January-September 2025, a 1.55% year-on-year decline due to decreases in cellular and fixed telecommunication revenues 1

. Despite this, the company's collaboration with Qualcomm is expected to optimize network operations and reduce costs.

Sector Outlook

The telecom sector's prospects appear positive despite intense competition, driven by consolidation benefits and technological advancements. Analysts recommend monitoring key developments in price trends and network monetization strategies across major operators.

Original Sources

Story Info

Published
1 month ago
Read Time
12 min
Sources
3 verified

Topics Covered

Telecom CompetitionARPU GrowthTelecom Stocks

Key Events

1

Price Competition Intensification

2

Network Monetization Strategies

3

Telecom Sector Consolidation

Timeline from 3 verified sources