Key insights and market outlook
Thailand's central bank forecasts 2.2% economic growth in 2025, with expectations of slowing momentum in 2026 and 2027. The monetary policy committee indicates that policy can be more accommodative due to slowing inflation and increasing economic risks. Core inflation is projected to remain low, primarily due to supply-side factors.
Thailand's central bank has projected that the country's economy will grow by 2.2% in 2025. However, the bank anticipates that the economic momentum will slow down in 2026 and 2027. This forecast was revealed in the minutes from the bank's recent policy meeting.
The monetary policy committee has indicated that the current economic conditions allow for a more accommodative monetary policy. This decision is largely influenced by the economy showing clearer signs of slowdown amid increasing risks. The committee also noted that core inflation is expected to remain low, primarily attributed to supply-side factors.
The central bank's projection suggests a cautious outlook for Thailand's economy in the coming years. While there is growth expected in 2025, the subsequent years are anticipated to see a slowdown. This forecast is crucial for businesses and investors to plan their strategies accordingly.
Thailand Economic Growth Forecast
Monetary Policy Adjustment