Key insights and market outlook
The United Nations forecasts global economic growth will slow to 2.7% in 2026 from 2.8% in 2025 before recovering slightly to 2.9% in 2027. This growth remains below the pre-pandemic average of 3.2% (2010-2019). The report attributes the slowdown to rising trade tensions, particularly the sharp increase in tariffs in the United States during 2025.
The United Nations' World Economic Situation and Prospects report projects that global economic growth will experience a moderate slowdown, reaching 2.7% in 2026 before marginally recovering to 2.9% in 2027. This growth trajectory remains below the historical average of 3.2% recorded between 2010 and 2019, indicating a persistent subdued economic environment.
The report identifies the sharp increase in tariffs in the United States during 2025 as a significant factor contributing to the current economic slowdown. This protectionist measure has introduced new trade tensions, potentially disrupting international trade flows. However, the report notes that the impact has been somewhat contained as there was no broader escalation of trade tensions.
The forecasted growth slowdown has important implications for global economic stability and development. With growth rates remaining below pre-pandemic levels, policymakers face challenges in stimulating economic activity while managing inflationary pressures and trade dynamics. The situation necessitates careful monitoring of trade policies and their potential impacts on global economic performance.
Global Growth Projection Revision
Trade Tariff Implementation