Key insights and market outlook
Indonesia's banking sector saw a significant increase in undisbursed loans (kredit nganggur) to Rp2,509.4 trillion by November 2025, representing 23.18% of total credit availability. The OJK attributes this to potential future credit growth while BI notes that credit growth slowed to 7.74% YoY in November 2025. Factors include weak demand and cautious lending practices amid economic uncertainty.
The Indonesian banking sector witnessed a substantial rise in undisbursed loans (kredit nganggur) reaching Rp2,509.4 trillion by November 2025 1
The Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) views the high level of undisbursed loans as an indication of potential future credit growth. According to Dian Ediana Rae, Head of Banking Supervision at OJK, this phenomenon suggests that there is still room for credit expansion in the future 1
Despite the potential indicated by undisbursed loans, actual credit growth has shown signs of slowing. Bank Indonesia (BI) reported that credit growth decelerated to 7.74% year-on-year (YoY) in November 2025, up from 7.36% in the previous month but still below expectations 3
The economic environment remains challenging, with both global and domestic uncertainties affecting credit demand. The Manufacturing PMI improved to 53.50 in November 2025 from 51.20 in October 2025, indicating expanding manufacturing activity 1
In response to these developments, the OJK is encouraging banks to strengthen their capital and consider consolidation to enhance their resilience and competitiveness. For 2026, the OJK projects that banking growth will remain positive, with credit growth expected to slightly increase 2
Peningkatan Kredit Menganggur
Perlambatan Pertumbuhan Kredit
Proyeksi Pertumbuhan Perbankan 2026