Key insights and market outlook
The US manufacturing sector contracted more than expected in December 2025, marking 10 consecutive months of decline. The downturn was driven by declining new orders and persistent high input costs, exacerbated by the ongoing impact of import tariffs imposed during the Trump administration.
The US manufacturing sector experienced a deeper contraction than expected in December 2025, extending its downturn to 10 consecutive months. This prolonged decline was primarily driven by significant decreases in new orders and continued pressure from high input costs. The persistent strength of the US dollar and the lingering effects of import tariffs imposed during the previous administration under Donald Trump further exacerbated the situation.
The prolonged contraction in the manufacturing sector raises concerns about the overall health of the US economy. Manufacturers faced challenges from both domestic and international fronts, including weakening global demand and supply chain disruptions. The situation underscores the complex interplay between global trade policies and domestic economic conditions.
The news is likely to have implications for US monetary policy and market sentiment. Investors and analysts will be closely monitoring subsequent economic data releases for signs of stabilization or further deterioration in the manufacturing sector.
US Manufacturing Contraction
PMI Decline
Trade Policy Impact